Chris Collins, New York’s 27th Congressional District
Collins quickly resigned from Congress after reports emerged that he would likely plead guilty to insider-trading charges. The first sitting member of Congress to endorse Trump in the 2016 race, Collins was charged in 2018 with allegedly dumping stock in a pharmaceutical company before information about that company was made public—yet he still narrowly won reelection that year. Without a candidate accused of a felony on the ballot, Republicans should be in a good position to retain control of this seat.
Francis Rooney, Florida’s 19th Congressional District
Rooney in October became the first House Republican to say he might vote to impeach Trump, and then promptly announced his retirement the next day. The 65-year-old businessman told Fox News he was “tired of the intense partisanship.” He’s leaving a safe Republican district in south Florida after just two terms.
House Democrats Retiring Outright
Nita Lowey, New York’s 17th Congressional District
- 2016 presidential election: +20.2 Clinton
- 2018 House election: +76 Lowey
Lowey, 82, is retiring at the peak of her power: In January, she became chairwoman of the House Appropriations Committee and the first woman to lead the influential panel. She’ll be leaving her safely Democratic district, which covers New York City’s northern suburbs, after more than 30 years in Congress.
José Serrano, New York’s 15th Congressional District
- 2016 presidential election: +88.9 Clinton
- 2018 House election: +92 Serrano
For nearly 30 years, Serrano has represented a South Bronx district that, at various times, has held the distinction of being the poorest, the most Democratic, and the smallest geographically in the country. He is currently the longest-serving Hispanic member of Congress and a senior member of the Appropriations Committee, but he announced his retirement due to the onset of Parkinson’s disease. Like many other New York City races, this one will be decided in the Democratic primary.
Dave Loebsack, Iowa’s Second Congressional District
- 2016 presidential election: +4.1 Trump
- 2018 House election: +12.2 Loebsack
Loebsack’s retirement after seven terms could give Republicans a decent shot at picking up this open seat in a district Trump carried in 2016. The longtime political-science professor won his 2018 race by 12 points; a Democrat looking to succeed him could find difficulty with Trump at the top of the ticket.
Susan Davis, California’s 53rd Congressional District
- 2016 presidential election: +34.9 Clinton
- 2018 House election: +38.2 Davis
Davis has represented a heavily Democratic district in San Diego since 2001. Though she didn’t quite achieve the seniority to become a committee chairwoman, she is a high-ranking member of the Education and Labor Committee, the Armed Services Committee, and the Administration Committee.
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